In which year will a film grossing over $400M worldwide be released whose protagonist seeks immortality?
Chance it happens
71%Belief the predicted event happens at all — every “yes / by-a-date” outcome added together. “Other” is tracked as its own third slice.
Outcomes
Resolution criteria
Resolves on the release year of a film that (a) grosses more than US$400 million worldwide and (b) has a lead protagonist whose central motive is achieving immortality or radical life extension. Resolution horizon: 2035-12-31. Source: Box Office Mojo + film synopsis.
Evidence & context
Trials, publications and reports our research found on this prognosis. Each links to the original source.
This is a Box Office Mojo chart of worldwide lifetime grosses for films, which is a primary source for verifying whether a film exceeded the US$400 million worldwide threshold in the resolution criteria. It does not establish the immortality motive by itself, but it is directly relevant to one required component of resolution when paired with a film synopsis.
This is a Box Office Mojo title page for the film Project Hail Mary, reporting worldwide gross of $683,574,224 and providing a synopsis. It bears on the prediction because it clears the box-office threshold, but the synopsis describes the protagonist's motive as saving Earth's sun rather than seeking immortality or radical life extension, so it is relevant as exclusionary evidence.
This is a box-office benchmark page listing films and their lifetime grosses by year. It is relevant because the prediction requires verifying that a qualifying film exceeds the gross threshold, though this page alone does not establish whether a film's hero seeks immortality and would need to be paired with a synopsis source.
This is a Box Office Mojo yearly worldwide grosses page, one of the named resolution sources for determining whether any 2026 film exceeded $400M worldwide. It does not by itself establish the protagonist's immortality motive, but it is directly relevant to the box office half of the resolution criteria.
This is a genuine Box Office Mojo index page summarizing worldwide annual grosses, which is relevant background for the box-office threshold in the prediction. However, it does not by itself identify a specific film or establish whether a lead protagonist's central motive is immortality, so it is only indirect evidence.